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New Poll Shows Trump Doubling His Lead

In a poll released on Monday by Monmouth University, Donald Trump has a 2-to-1 lead over the next closest opponent in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. In fact, Trump has 26 percent, followed by Jeb Bush at 12 percent. Despite critics and the loss of business deals, Trump's support has doubled since mid-July when he had 13 percent, which was behind Bush's 15 percent. In addition, according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Trump holds a 7.5 percentage-point lead over his next closest competitor in the field. This will go up once the Monmouth poll is taken into account. The Monmouth poll also shows Trump receiving support from all factions of the party.

Moreover, Trump has a 20-point lead over Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker among Tea Party supporters and an 8-point lead over Bush among those who identify as "somewhat conservative." He also leads Bush by 8 points from those who describe themselves as moderates. Trump leads in every age category and is the number one choice of men and women in the survey. His favorability ratings have also skyrocketed with 52 percent saying they have a positive view of Trump to 35 percent who view him negatively. Before Trump entered the race, only 20 percent viewed him positively compared to 55 percent who viewed him negatively. Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute said, “Republican support for Donald Trump just continues to grow with no clear sense of who his constituency really is. This makes it very difficult for his opponents to figure out how to take him on in the upcoming debate.”

Walker is in third place in the poll at 11 percent support, followed by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 6 percent each. Rounding out the top 10 are Ben Carson at 5 percent, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and Sens. Rand Paul (Ky.) and Marco Rubio (Fla.) at 4 percent a piece, and Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 3 percent. Fox News is holding the first Republican presidential debate for the top 10 in the polls. Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Carly Fiorina are tied at number 11 with 2 percent support. Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-Pa.), Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), former New York Gov. George Pataki and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore all took 1 percent support or less in the poll. For those who don't make the debates, Fox News is holding a forum earlier on Thursday. The Monmouth University poll of 423 registered Republican voters was conducted between July 30 and Aug. 2 and has a 4.8-percentage-point margin of error.

Photo: Michael Vadon

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